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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.56
Flu9.77
COVID-194.06
and 1 other

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Combinedresult: 19.4 per 100k
Fluresult: 13.6 per 100k
COVID-19result: 4.2 per 100k
and 1 other

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

resultNo

How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

Ambiguous

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

no comments0

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

4%chance
condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

20 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.709

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.04
10 comments10
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25