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Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

2
no comments0

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

14
3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Contributed by the JetBrains community.

What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2025:

Ready to delegate refactoring67.3
Ready to delegate improving or optimizing code60.5
Ready to delegate checking code for potential issues52.1
and 3 others

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Vietnam85%
Singapore80%
Taiwan73%
and 9 others

Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting

12
2 comments2

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?

13%chance
4.8% this week

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
and 2 others

Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

4%chance