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Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
52.1%
Microsoft
34%
Meta
22%
14 others
6
11 comments
11
Future of AI
Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?
95%
2246 forecasters
239
157 comments
157
AGI Outcomes
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
8 forecasters
Revealed
in 4 days
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0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?
9 forecasters
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in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
9 forecasters
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in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?
8 forecasters
Revealed
in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Cybersecurity?
8 forecasters
Revealed
in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
What will be the best normalized score achieved on the original 7 RE-Bench tasks by December 31st 2025?
9 forecasters
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in 4 days
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0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?
8 forecasters
Revealed
in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?
8 forecasters
Revealed
in 4 days
no comments
0
Harvard's AI Safety Student Team
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