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Contributed by the JetBrains community.

What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2025:

Ready to delegate refactoring67.3
Ready to delegate improving or optimizing code60.5
Ready to delegate checking code for potential issues52.1
and 3 others

Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?

13%chance
4.8% this week

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind50%
Microsoft25%
xAI10%
and 14 others

A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

06 Nov 2029

Computability and Complexity

16
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives