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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

Beyond Benchmark Rates: How Modern Central Banks Tighten Monetary Policy

10
1 comment1

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

70%chance
5% this week

What percent of US GDP will come from manufacturing in the first half of 2028?

9.71%
0.2 % this week

Two Theories of Inflation

25
10 comments10

Reducing Nuclear Risk Through Improved US-China Relations

13
2 comments2
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura31%
Nata30%
and 1 other

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other