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Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

36%chance
44% this week

Will any members of the European Parliament resign before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Angela Rayner30%
Keir Starmer20%
Andy Burnham15%
and 6 others

(closed) Which country will win UEFA Euro 2024?

Spainresult: Yes
Englandresult: No
Franceresult: No
and 21 others

Which country will win the UEFA Euro 2024?

Spainresult: Yes
Englandresult: No
Franceresult: No
and 6 others

Will Pedro Sánchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, call for general elections before 2026?

20%chance

Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Ambiguous

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?

resultYes

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.9%chance

Hofer for president in Austria on 4 December?

resultNo