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[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 16 hours

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Key Factor

Spreading of Deepfakes

Democrats79.7%
Republicans20.2%
Other0.1%

Key Factor

Spreading of Deepfakes

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?

Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes
Republican Senate & Houseresult: No
Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No
and 1 other

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
and 12 others

[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

Kevin McCarthy (R)result: Yes
Elise Stefanik (R)result: No
Donald Trump (R)result: No
and 10 others

How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years?

Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024?

Senator Bob Menendez (D)result: Yes
Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)result: No
Representative Frank Pallone (D)result: No
and 8 others

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
and 18 others

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

Rep Senate / Dem House61.2%
Dem Senate / Dem House20.4%
Rep Senate / Rep House17.3%
and 1 other