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[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?

114.2 percentage points this week

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6

Metaculus Journal Archives

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes

Kevin Hern (R)Annulled

Steve Scalise (R)result: No

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?

Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes

Republican Senate & Houseresult: No

Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No

[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

Kevin McCarthy (R)result: Yes

Elise Stefanik (R)result: No

Donald Trump (R)result: No

How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years?

Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024?

Senator Bob Menendez (D)result: Yes

Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)result: No

Representative Frank Pallone (D)result: No

Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election?

Will any discharge petition of the 118th Congress receive 218 signatures?

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes

Floridaresult: Yes

Missouriresult: Yes