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By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
36%
356 forecasters
55
18 comments
18
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8%
146 forecasters
13
1 comment
1
Ragnarök Series
Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?
Resolved :
No
122 forecasters
13
16 comments
16
Pandemic Series (2018)
Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?
9
5 comments
5
Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?
1.99×10⁻⁴
163 forecasters
28
10 comments
10
Fermi Paradox Series
Playing God Question Series
7
no comments
0
Playing God Series
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
27%
219 forecasters
33
27 comments
27
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: overview
14
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34 comments
34
Ragnarök Series
Animal Welfare Series
11
2 comments
2
Animal Welfare Series
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