• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura31%
Nata30%
and 1 other

Space Sector ‘Greenification’

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

00

To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?

resultNo

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

United States55%
China35%
Israel10%
and 6 others

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

0.00132%

Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

8
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives