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[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?

60%chance
19% this week

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Contributed by the QH Forecasting Community community.

condition

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?

Jul 2031

When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?

Feb 2046
no comments0
QH Forecasting Community

Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions

15
no comments0
2022 Scott Alexander predictions

[New Questions] Autocrat Public Figure Series

12
3 comments3