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Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

Will An American State Ban Factory Farming by 2030?

11%chance

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

How many Pro-Animal Future city chapters will there be by the end of 2026?

3-4 Chapters40%
5-6 Chapters30%
7-8 Chapters15%
and 3 others

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

How many American state ballots will have a factory farm ban on them by the end of 2030 due to Pro-Animal Future?

0-254.9%
3-427%
5-610%
and 3 others

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
4 comments4
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18
8 comments8
Academy Summer Series

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

75%chance

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

51.4M
birds

The State of Metaculus

13
38 comments38