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Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

1%chance

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%chance
4% this week

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

12
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

23%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Life on the Icy Moons and Ocean Worlds of the Outer Solar System

15
1 comment1

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

Will the Universe end?

67%chance
7% this week

To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?

resultNo