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Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
4 comments4
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

27%chance

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

1.5%chance
2.3% this week

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

25%chance

Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024?

resultNo

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024?

resultNo

Will there be at least 10,000 confirmed deaths due to H5N1 before 2024?

resultNo

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

no comments0

The new variants and the next phase of the pandemic

no comments0