• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

4
no comments0

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

5
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Platform feature suggestions

112
2968 comments2968
Metaculus Meta

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

14
3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Moderate58.8%
High21.6%
Low (or lower)14.7%
and 1 other

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00

📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on it's public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?

Key Factor

Progress faster than previous year

20.1
1.3 this week

Key Factor

Progress faster than previous year

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?

82.7%