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Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

Key Factor

US relies on SpaceX, risk to punish too high

1%chance

Key Factor

US relies on SpaceX, risk to punish too high

When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?

Sep 2031

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

>125
billion $

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

638
B USD

When will SpaceX be a trillion-dollar company?

Nov 2032

When will SpaceX be taken public?

Dec 2030

To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?

resultNo

Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?)

resultNo

Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?

40%chance

When will an individual SpaceX Falcon 9 core stage launch and return to Earth for the tenth time?

result09 May 2021 06:00