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Will Elon Musk be interviewed by Jon Stewart on the Daily Show?
Closed
22%
37 forecasters
no comments
0
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
57.2%
2132 forecasters
176
112 comments
112
Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?
44%
384 forecasters
58
58 comments
58
Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
0.6%
4288 forecasters
906
452 comments
452
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
125
136 forecasters
15
75 comments
75
When will Starlink be spun out from SpaceX?
Mar 2027
13 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
51%
China
33%
Israel
10%
6 others
16
43 comments
43
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2025
2.58
2030
6.94
2035
12.8
13
13 comments
13
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will Starlink conduct an IPO before 2030?
75%
71 forecasters
11
2 comments
2
If Starlink offers an IPO before 2030, will it set a record for the largest IPO?
27%
78 forecasters
14
20 comments
20
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