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Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

Key Factor

US relies on SpaceX, risk to punish too high

1%chance

Key Factor

US relies on SpaceX, risk to punish too high

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

>125
billion $

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

638
B USD

When will SpaceX be a trillion-dollar company?

Nov 2032

When will SpaceX be taken public?

Dec 2030

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?)

resultNo

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18
8 comments8
Academy Summer Series

When will an individual SpaceX Falcon 9 core stage launch and return to Earth for the tenth time?

result09 May 2021 06:00

Space Sector ‘Greenification’

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives