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Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18
8 comments8
Academy Summer Series

The Lightning Round Tournament: Comparing Metaculus Forecasters to Infectious Disease Experts

37
85 comments85
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Lightning Round Tournament Discussion 1.0

7
5 comments5
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

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15 comments15
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Will the community prediction do better than the Metaculus prediction for the 2nd instalment of the Lightning round?

resultYes

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

5
1 comment1
Academy Summer Series

In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?

result1245

Will all local health districts in Virginia either be in declining or plateau trajectories OR report fewer than 5 cases per 100k residents per week for 3 consecutive weeks prior to 1 September 2021?

resultNo

How many of Virginia's 35 Local Health Districts will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute identify as being "In Surge" in the slide deck dated 16 June 2021?

result0