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Announcing a Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

18
8 comments8
Academy Summer Series

The Lightning Round Tournament: Comparing Metaculus Forecasters to Infectious Disease Experts

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85 comments85
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Lightning Round Tournament Discussion 1.0

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5 comments5
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

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15 comments15
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Will the community prediction do better than the Metaculus prediction for the 2nd instalment of the Lightning round?

resultYes

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

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1 comment1
Academy Summer Series

Will all local health districts in Virginia either be in declining or plateau trajectories OR report fewer than 5 cases per 100k residents per week for 3 consecutive weeks prior to 1 September 2021?

resultNo

How many of Virginia's 35 Local Health Districts will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute identify as being "In Surge" in the slide deck dated 16 June 2021?

result0

Launching the Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

6
23 comments23
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Question suggestions for VA Lightning Tourney

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2 comments2
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round