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Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

2
no comments0

Platform feature suggestions

112
2966 comments2966
Metaculus Meta

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
and 2 others

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

27%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

50%chance

Phase transitions and AGI

15
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest

AI safety and timelines

8
2 comments2
AI Progress Essay Contest

Hyperbolic takeoff

7
5 comments5
AI Progress Essay Contest