MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Forecasting OWID Commenting Prize Winners

8

Forecasting Our World in Data

Predictions as Public Works Project — What Metaculus Is Building Next

12

‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week

17

Five Years After AGI

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

16

Future Effective Altruism Resources Series

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

356 forecasters

55

Ragnarök Series

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

396 forecasters

34

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

31

160 comments160

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

4

Five Years After AGI

In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?

4

Playing God Question Series

7

Playing God Series