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Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Pokrovsk9%
Myrnohrad7%
Kostiantynivka5%
and 1 other

How many Ukrainian refugees will there be in June 2025, according to UNHCR?

AnnulledRefugees

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

resultNo

Will Ukraine announce a presidential election before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

Rewards for comments in the ČMKOS challenge

1
1 comment1
Odborný Predikční Tým

Contributed by the Cпільнота українських передбачувачів community.

Якими будуть міжнародні резерви України у травні 2025 (у млрд $)?

result44.5 млрд $

Predicting Russia's Failure

3
14 comments14
Metaculus Journal Archives

A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Where is the AGI Roadmap?

5
2 comments2
AI Progress Essay Contest

The Patchwork Future: An Exercise in Interpolation

5
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest