Metaculus Pro Forecasters
With more than 11,000 resolved questions, Metaculus has the data to spot forecasting excellence and the power to put proven forecasting experts to work on your most important challenges. Pro Forecasters deliver calibrated predictions paired with clear reasoning, empowering decision-makers to act with confidence.
With more than 11,000 resolved questions, Metaculus has the data to spot forecasting excellence and the power to put proven forecasting experts to work on your most important challenges.
Pro Forecasters deliver calibrated predictions paired with clear reasoning, empowering decision-makers to act with confidence.
How it works
Steps for collaborating with Pro Forecasters
Step 1
Contact Us
We'll explore how our Pro Forecasters can best surface the insights you need
Step 2
Identify forecasting questions
Whether it's deconstructing uncertainties into new questions or surfacing insights from existing questions, we'll help you target the information you need
Step 3
Learn from the Pros
With a carefully selected team and on your timeline, Pros will share calibrated forecasts and reasoning to help you make the right calls when it matters most
Case Study
Metaculus Pro Forecasters Deliver Respiratory Disease Forecasts to CDC
Metaculus collaborated with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to design and implement a seasonal forecasting process that included expert input from CDC personnel and real-time updates from Pro Forecasters.
Throughout the season, Pro Forecasters responded quickly to emerging threats such as avian influenza and measles, updating their forecasts and reasoning to reflect the latest information available. Their insights were shared publicly in the Respiratory Outlook Tournament and were provided directly to CDC in monthly reports.
Meet a few of our Pros
Peter Wildeford is the co-founder and Chief Advisory Executive at the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy, a think tank dedicated to securing the benefits and managing the risks of advanced AI. He also co-founded Rethink Priorities, a research and implementation group identifying high-impact opportunities to improve the world. Prior to that, he was a data scientist in industry. Peter’s professional forecasting work focuses on artificial intelligence, nuclear risks, Ukraine, and supply chains.
Isabel is a Research Fellow at Open Philanthropy, serving on the Cause Prioritization Team within the Global Catastrophic Risks focus area. She holds a master’s degree in economics from UCLA and was a Senior Research Assistant at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Isabel has contributed to several Metaculus Pro Forecasting projects, focusing on artificial intelligence, the conflict in Ukraine, and regional supply chains.
Scott is a geopolitical forecaster and analyst whose predictions have been used by senior political officials, leading financial institutions, and philanthropies. He has spoken at and led discussions at the National Military Academies of Poland and Romania, and he contributed to an epidemic forecasting initiative by the Future of Humanity Institute at the University of Oxford, advising governments and industry on COVID-19. He currently advises on the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and at Metaculus has focused on artificial intelligence, nuclear risks, synthetic biology, the seasonal respiratory disease outlook, and other topics.