Winners Announced!

See the official announcement of the 5 winners here! →

Update April 7th : Thank you for participating in our first Brazilian tournament! The tournament has now closed for further predictions, and we are now waiting for some official data to be released, especially information provided by the government, so that we can complete the resolution of all issues. We expect to finalize all resolutions by May 1st . We will keep you posted on any news!

Interested in participating in more tournaments? Check out these opportunities:

Market Pulse Tournament The Market Pulse tournament invites participants to predict trends and movements in the financial market, stimulating the analysis of economic and behavioral data. Until May 26th, prizes up to $7.5K! Learn more →
POTUS Tournament Predictions The POTUS Predictions tournament focuses on anticipating events and decisions linked to the President of the United States until the end of his term in 2029. Prize pool up to $15K! Learn more →
IA Q1 (2025) Forecast Benchmark Series Comparing state-of-the-art AI predictions to the best human forecasters on real-world issues. Use our templates to build a prediction bot and win $30k! Learn more →

Predicting the future isn’t just an exercise in curiosity—it’s an essential tool for understanding trends, anticipating risks, and creating solutions. In a world full of uncertainty, data-driven predictions and collective intelligence are the key to more informed, transformative decisions.

We are looking for Brazilians with exceptional forecasting skills. This tournament marks the first time Metaculus has organized a competition focused exclusively on Brazilian issues . You will explore crucial developments in the Brazilian economy, environment, technology, and legislation for the first quarter of 2025.

At Metaculus, we believe that the wisdom of the crowd has the power to bring clarity to the world's most complex topics.

Closed: March 31
Solved Questions: May 1st
Champions Announcement: May 2nd

Want to learn more about predictions and how they can be useful? →

Want to make predictions on more Brazil-focused issues? Find them here →

For more information on how the platform works, see our FAQ → (To read in Portuguese, click on the language selector in the top right corner and choose 'Portuguese')

New to Metaculus?

Learn how our prediction platform works and how you can participate.

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Total Prize Pool: $1,500

Position	Award
1st Place	$500
2nd Place	$400
3rd Place	$300
4th Place	$200
5th Place	$100

Brazil Prediction Tournament - 1st Quarter

Questions