2 comments
13 forecasters
Will the WHO report that the 2026 Ebola outbreak has spread to a 6th Congo province before September 1, 2026?
91%chance
4 comments
7 forecasters
Will there be a natural disaster causing at least 10 million deaths before 2101?
83%chance
0 comments
9 forecasters
Who will be the largest Democratic donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
George Soros
Majority Forward
Other
2 comments
6 forecasters
Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen
Elon Musk
Jeff & Janine Yass
Elizabeth & Richard Uihlein
2 others
1 comment
11 forecasters
Will South Korea announce a specific date for the 5th Nuri rocket launch before September 1, 2026?
50%chance
8 comments
56 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026?
16%chance
5% today
1 comment
58 forecasters
What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026?
Current estimate
11.6 Bs/USD
0 comments
5 forecasters
How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in August 2026?
Current estimate
41.3k jobs
2 comments
1 forecaster
Will USTR publish a final overcapacity determination before September 24, 2026?
10%chance
4 comments
58 forecasters
What will be the percentage change in the S&P 500 from close of Aug 26, 2026 to open of Aug 31, 2026?
Current estimate
0.41%
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will the officially targeted launch month of the Nuri rocket be something other than October 2026, as of August 31, 2026?
10%chance