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- January 7, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
637 predictions on 179 questions (60 resolved)
Comments
322 comments on 115 questions
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
303 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (2)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (2)
- Computing – Gaming (1)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (1)
- Geopolitics – terrorism (1)
Popular Questions
- By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict? (284 forecasts)
- When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger? (236 forecasts)
- Will EVE Online die by 2020? (127 forecasts)
- If and when this graph is extended to 10^14 parameter models trained on 10^14 elapsed tokens of similar-quality data, will the 10^14 parameter learning curve have slowed down substantially? (109 forecasts)