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- January 7, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
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676 predictions on 186 questions (73 resolved)
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376 comments on 119 questions
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307 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict? (290 forecasts)
- When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger? (249 forecasts)
- Will EVE Online die by 2020? (127 forecasts)
- If and when this graph is extended to 10^14 parameter models trained on 10^14 elapsed tokens of similar-quality data, will the 10^14 parameter learning curve have slowed down substantially? (109 forecasts)