Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
kokotajlod
Predictions
686
Comments
384
Member Since
January 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by kokotajlod
By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?
15%
chance
If and when this graph is extended to 10^14 parameter models trained on 10^14 elapsed tokens of similar-quality data, will the 10^14 parameter learning curve have slowed down substantially?
30%
chance
When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?
12 Dec 2024
Will EVE Online die by 2020?
result
No