formulating intelligent predictions delivering quantitative predictions forecasting contingent forecasts forecasting calibrated understanding forecasting definitive predictions mapping the future formulating definitive predictions generating predictive estimations calculating contingent wisdom formulating calibrated insights crowdsourcing accurate estimations crowdsourcing critical estimations calculating accurate predictions modeling quantitative predictions

Profile

username davidmanheim
formerly known as
member since January 28, 2016
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 8 (Forecaster)
predictions 498 predictions on 236 questions (116 resolved)
comments 75 comments on 54 questions
rank 82nd
authorship 1 active questions
achievements