Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- February 8, 2016
Bio
Website
{{err}}
{{"metaculusSupporterHeading" | translate}}
{{"supporterSinceHeading" | translate}}
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
{{"changeUsernameHeading" | translate}}
{{"tachyonsCost" | translate:({tachyons: user.username_change_cost})}}
{{"changeUsernameDescription" | translate}}
{{"changeUsernameDescriptionNewUser" | translate}}
Forecaster Stats
Level
10 (Superpredictor)
Predictions
1432 predictions on 220 questions (140 resolved)
Comments
318 comments on 106 questions
Rank
241st
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
375 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Economy – Economic Transition (4)
- Technological Advances (2)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (2)
- Industry – Space (2)
- Physical Sciences – Astrophysics and Cosmology (2)
Popular Questions
- Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? (401 forecasts)
- Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050? (164 forecasts)
- Will Holden's Bet with Zvi about Omicron resolve ambiguously? (129 forecasts)
- What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 USD? (108 forecasts)
- What will real Gross World Product be in 2100, in trillions of 2020 USD? (97 forecasts)