calculating contingent wisdom crowdsourcing intelligent estimations composing intelligent forecasts predicting definitive estimations exploring probable estimations mapping the future aggregating accurate futures delivering predictive forecasts forecasting precise contingencies generating definitive contingencies crowdsourcing definitive predictions aggregating predictive forecasts computing definitive understanding formulating predictive contingencies


username JohnMSmart
formerly known as
member since February 9, 2016
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 3 (Guesstimator)
predictions 26 predictions on 19 questions (7 resolved)
comments 9 comments on 7 questions
rank 651st
authorship 5 active questions