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- February 9, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
10 (Superpredictor)
Predictions
231 predictions on 178 questions (128 resolved)
Comments
56 comments on 33 questions
Rank
152nd
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
508 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer Science – Quantum Computing (3)
- Computing – Security (3)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (3)
- Technological Advances (2)
- Business (1)
Popular Questions
- Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030? (172 forecasts)
- Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018? (114 forecasts)
- Will Wikileaks publish the full "Panama Papers" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format? (87 forecasts)
- Will AirBnB will go public before 2019? (84 forecasts)
- Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015? (81 forecasts)