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ChristianKleineidam
Predictions
235
Comments
60
Member Since
February 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by ChristianKleineidam
1
comment
4
forecasters
Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?
15%
chance
13
comments
29
forecasters
When will Ethereum be able to do 1,000 transactions per second?
Current estimate
03 Jul 2027
7
comments
18
forecasters
When will the first company list on the Long-Term Stock Exchange?
community
03 Sep 2022
result
Ambiguous
9
comments
25
forecasters
When will it be possible to buy Quantum Computing via the Cloud?
community
07 May 2024
result
Ambiguous
18
comments
42
forecasters
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
Current estimate
Sep 2045
12
comments
112
forecasters
Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?
25%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
8
comments
42
forecasters
Will Wikileaks publish the full "Panama Papers" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?
result
No
3
comments
70
forecasters
Will AirBnB will go public before 2019?
result
No
5
comments
60
forecasters
Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?
result
No
8
comments
69
forecasters
Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?
result
No
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