Metaculus
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gjm
formerly known as
member since
February 16, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
level
19 (Time Lord)
predictions
1763 predictions on 873 questions (579 resolved)
comments
719 comments on 330 questions
rank
11th
achievements
Author Stats
Questions
7 authored questions
Forecasts
573 forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Politics – European (3)
- Finance (1)
- Industry – Energy (1)
- Law – Court Cases (1)
- Mathematics – Pure Mathematics (1)
Popular Questions
- Will the UK actually leave the EU? (354 forecasts)
- Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018? (150 forecasts)
- Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018? (123 forecasts)
- Has Michael Atiyah possibly cracked the Riemann hypothesis? (106 forecasts)
- What will be the price of a barrel of crude oil at Christmas 2018? (98 forecasts)