generating definitive forecasts aggregating accurate wisdom calculating predictive wisdom assembling precise understanding modeling contingent understanding mapping the future generating calibrated insights modeling probable understanding predicting contingent understanding delivering definitive futures exploring probable estimations calculating calibrated understanding forecasting calibrated predictions mapping predictive futures


username AlexRay
formerly known as
member since March 7, 2016
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 7 (Prognosticator)
predictions 368 predictions on 299 questions (159 resolved)
comments 13 comments on 10 questions
rank 89th