calculating precise futures aggregating calibrated forecasts crowdsourcing definitive futures delivering accurate forecasts aggregating contingent understanding mapping the future calculating intelligent predictions generating precise understanding exploring probable wisdom modeling probable forecasts composing intelligent futures exploring accurate insights generating contingent insights composing accurate forecasts


username PabloStafforini
formerly known as
member since July 14, 2016
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 15 (Time Lord)
predictions 3505 predictions on 1110 questions (324 resolved)
comments 389 comments on 174 questions
rank 16th
authorship 17 active questions