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Forecaster Stats
Level
27 (AIXI.1.7)
Predictions
9346 predictions on 2145 questions (878 resolved)
Comments
757 comments on 348 questions
Rank
3rd
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1496 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (7)
- PhilPapers Surveys 2020 (4)
- Politics – US (4)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (3)
- Elections – U.S. – President (3)
Popular Questions
- In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede? [closes 2021-01-20] (1425 forecasts)
- [short fuse] Given that the NYT publishes an article on Scott Alexander, will it include his full name? (915 forecasts)
- Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday? (318 forecasts)
- How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [1-8B range] (180 forecasts)
- How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary? (173 forecasts)