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- July 14, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
28 (AIXI.1.8)
Predictions
9578 predictions on 2205 questions (1159 resolved)
Comments
791 comments on 369 questions
Rank
8th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1760 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (8)
- PhilPapers Surveys 2020 (4)
- Politics – US (4)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (3)
- Elections – U.S. – President (3)
Popular Questions
- In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede? [closes 2021-01-20] (1425 forecasts)
- [short fuse] Given that the NYT publishes an article on Scott Alexander, will it include his full name? (915 forecasts)
- Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday? (318 forecasts)
- How many members will Giving What We Can have on 2029-11-15, its 20th anniversary? (224 forecasts)
- How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029? (222 forecasts)