Predictions9512
Comments815
Member SinceJuly 2016
In 2022, will the Future Fund give more than Open Philanthropy to longtermist causes?
By 2023, will the Effective Altruism Wiki be "alive"?
By 2023, what will be the quality of the best articles published on the Effective Altruism Wiki?
By 2023, how fast will the Effective Altruism Wiki have grown relative to the LessWrong Wiki?
By 2023, what fraction of total content published on the Effective Altruism Wiki will have been written by volunteer contributors?
By 2023, what fraction of total traffic to the Effective Altruism Forum will be traffic to the Effective Altruism Wiki?
By 2023, how many words of content will have been published on the Effective Altruism Wiki?
In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede? [closes 2021-01-20]
community
08 Jan 2021 04:31
Will Trump drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?
[short fuse] Given that the NYT publishes an article on Scott Alexander, will it include his full name?