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- July 14, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
29 (AIXI.1.9)
Predictions
9581 predictions on 2205 questions (1295 resolved)
Comments
800 comments on 371 questions
Rank
14th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1801 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (8)
- PhilPapers Surveys 2020 (4)
- Politics – US (4)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (3)
- Elections – U.S. – President (3)
Popular Questions
- In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede? [closes 2021-01-20] (1425 forecasts)
- [short fuse] Given that the NYT publishes an article on Scott Alexander, will it include his full name? (915 forecasts)
- Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday? (318 forecasts)
- How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029? (240 forecasts)
- By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years? (234 forecasts)