predicting predictive wisdom generating critical forecasts crowdsourcing definitive estimations forecasting definitive forecasts modeling calibrated futures mapping the future assembling intelligent wisdom crowdsourcing calibrated wisdom composing contingent estimations assembling accurate forecasts composing quantitative understanding computing contingent contingencies exploring accurate wisdom modeling precise wisdom


username Otiose
formerly known as
member since July 31, 2016
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 4 (Fortuneteller)
predictions 52 predictions on 34 questions (21 resolved)
rank 206th