exploring predictive contingencies mapping contingent forecasts exploring contingent predictions delivering predictive forecasts composing probable estimations mapping the future predicting intelligent understanding crowdsourcing critical contingencies forecasting contingent wisdom forecasting calibrated wisdom modeling definitive predictions aggregating calibrated forecasts mapping probable predictions formulating intelligent insights

Profile

username penten
formerly known as
member since February 6, 2017
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 4 (Fortuneteller)
predictions 99 predictions on 93 questions (32 resolved)
comments 3 comments on 3 questions
rank 225th
achievements