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alexlyzhov
Predictions
3112
Comments
555
Member Since
August 2017
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by alexlyzhov
8
comments
8
forecasters
How much will 1K GPT-4 API tokens cost in January 2025?
Input (8K context)
result:
0.03
750 Input Tokens + 250 Output Tokens
result:
0.0075
Input (32K context)
Annulled
2 others
18
comments
273
forecasters
What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD?
community
1.92
result
2.021421
12
comments
50
forecasters
What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine?
community
79.1
result
83
11
comments
30
forecasters
When will The Economist rank Russia as a hybrid regime or better in its Democracy Index?
Current estimate
Feb 2042
22
comments
80
forecasters
When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?
community
>01 Aug 2023 00:00
result
More than 01 Aug 2023 00:00
17
comments
26
forecasters
When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?
Current estimate
26 Nov 2029
7
comments
44
forecasters
How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin on January 1, 2027?
Current estimate
5.53 states
11
comments
31
forecasters
When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?
community
>01 Feb 2022
result
More than 01 Feb 2022
9
comments
47
forecasters
When will The Economist rank Russia as a Democracy in its Democracy Index?
Current estimate
Jun 2054
19
comments
21
forecasters
What is the greatest number of people who, for non-medical purposes, use a newly discovered drug at any year between 2021 and 2070?
Current estimate
366M people
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