mapping definitive insights composing predictive understanding aggregating definitive insights delivering accurate wisdom exploring quantitative insights mapping the future calculating predictive forecasts predicting predictive estimations exploring precise understanding delivering probable forecasts delivering critical predictions crowdsourcing precise futures aggregating critical futures composing predictive forecasts

Profile

username aran
formerly known as
member since August 13, 2017
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 10 (Superpredictor)
predictions 1182 predictions on 447 questions (194 resolved)
comments 238 comments on 136 questions
rank 26th
authorship 4 active questions
achievements