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- February 1, 2018
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
7703 predictions on 2014 questions (1094 resolved)
Comments
2844 comments on 1440 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- π°Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament π°
- π° The Sagan Space Tournament π°
- ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
- π°Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament π°
- Keep Virginia Safe II
- π° Breaking News Tournament π°
- π°Q2 2023 Beginner Tournament π°
- Regulation of AI
- Public Perception of AI
- AI Demonstrations
- Business of AI
- AI Training and Compute
- AGI Outcomes
- AI in China
- AI Technical Benchmarks
- AI Safety
- Programs
- Platform
- Research
- π Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup π
- Reducing Antibiotic Resistance In Aquaculture
- FRO-casting
- Conditional Cup
- Antibody Characterization through Open Science
- Platform for Human Molecular Monitoring
- Systematic Study of Phage Genes and Functions
- Complete Map of Neural Input-Output Functions
- π Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup π
- Global Pulse Tournament
- Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
- Chinese AI Chips
- ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
- π Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup π
- Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
- Climate Tipping Points Round 2
- Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3
- Virginia Lightning Round: Week 4
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2
- Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
- Keep Virginia Safe II: Variant Characteristics Series
- Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 3
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5
- Climate Tipping Points Round 1
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 6
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 1
- Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9
- Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 7
- Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
- Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 8
- Keep Virginia Safe II: Hospitalizations Series
- Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
- Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 4
- Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
- Virginia Lightning Round: Week 1
- Alt-Protein Tournament Round 2
- π Quarterly Cup π
Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
67601 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? (6693 forecasts)
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- Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? (2072 forecasts)
- Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? (1985 forecasts)