forecasting critical predictions aggregating definitive predictions forecasting contingent estimations formulating contingent predictions generating definitive understanding mapping the future modeling contingent insights predicting definitive futures predicting contingent contingencies computing critical estimations exploring probable understanding mapping intelligent estimations composing critical estimations modeling precise contingencies

Profile

username casens
formerly known as
member since February 1, 2018
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 6 (Gambler)
predictions 766 predictions on 302 questions (64 resolved)
comments 97 comments on 63 questions
rank 104th
authorship 5 active questions
achievements