forecasting probable estimations calculating precise estimations assembling accurate estimations crowdsourcing intelligent futures aggregating accurate understanding mapping the future predicting quantitative wisdom crowdsourcing contingent forecasts calculating precise insights assembling calibrated understanding predicting intelligent insights crowdsourcing calibrated wisdom crowdsourcing critical insights exploring probable contingencies


username sebk
formerly known as
member since March 26, 2018
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 7 (Prognosticator)
predictions 342 predictions on 237 questions (84 resolved)
comments 36 comments on 27 questions
rank 121st