computing definitive futures delivering predictive wisdom aggregating calibrated contingencies exploring quantitative insights composing critical insights mapping the future exploring probable insights composing probable understanding generating calibrated predictions delivering contingent forecasts mapping precise estimations assembling predictive forecasts delivering quantitative estimations exploring probable forecasts


username mattvdm
formerly known as
member since June 19, 2018
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 2 (Guesser)
predictions 483 predictions on 171 questions (12 resolved)
comments 18 comments on 17 questions
rank 1287th
authorship 5 active questions