Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- June 19, 2018
Bio
Website
{{err}}
Metaculus Supporter
Supporter Since
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
Change your username
Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons
You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.
Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.
Forecaster Stats
Level
21 (AIXI.1.1)
Predictions
4894 predictions on 1154 questions (506 resolved)
Comments
268 comments on 153 questions
Rank
15th
Achievements
Tournaments
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
226 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (3)
- Effective Altruism (2)
- Business (2)
- Economy – US (2)
- Finance – markets (2)
Popular Questions
- When will the VIX index fall below 20? (266 forecasts)
- When will the VIX index climb above 50? (127 forecasts)
- How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022? (122 forecasts)
- Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online? (121 forecasts)
- What will US dining activity be in September 2020? (119 forecasts)