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- June 26, 2018
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
3933 predictions on 1226 questions (680 resolved)
Comments
2943 comments on 1072 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Monkeypox
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
4026 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Biological Sciences – Bioengineering (18)
- Politics (10)
- Short-fuse (6)
- Geopolitics (5)
- Metaculus Itself (5)
Popular Questions
- Will Donald Trump be President of the United States of America on 2021-01-21? (3139 forecasts)
- Will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10,000 people in 2020? (945 forecasts)
- Will World GDP grow every year until 2025? (847 forecasts)
- Will all major 2020 US presidential candidates survive the COVID-19 epidemic? (721 forecasts)
- Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in August 2019? (339 forecasts)