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Member Since
- July 10, 2018
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Forecaster Stats
Level
15 (Time Lord)
Predictions
1237 predictions on 790 questions (472 resolved)
Comments
584 comments on 227 questions
Rank
65th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- Biosecurity Tournament
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
2549 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (4)
- Metaculus Itself (4)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (4)
- Technology – Space (3)
- Biology – Infectious Disease (2)
Popular Questions
- If president Trump loses the 2020 election, will he concede? (898 forecasts)
- Will the WHO or North Korean Government confirm any COVID-19 cases in North Korea by 2020-05-17? (824 forecasts)
- Before 2020-05-17, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections? (688 forecasts)
- Will a recession cause "suicides by the thousands"? (570 forecasts)
- One Million Martian Residents by 2075? (558 forecasts)