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AABoyles
Predictions
1257
Comments
592
Member Since
July 2018
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by AABoyles
When will the Metaculus Algorithm break its worst prediction record?
Ambiguous
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
Ambiguous
Are We Surprised by AI Milestones?
8
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?
result
Yes
What will be the Hue (in angular degrees) of Pantone's Color of the Year for 2022?
result
240
If president Trump loses the 2020 election, will he concede?
result
Yes
When will the Catholic Church Elect a new Pope?
result
08 May 2025 16:00
What proportion of 2020 U.S. House of Representatives elections without a running incumbent will be won by Republicans?
result
0.694
Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?
result
No
Will the next US recession turn into a depression?
result
No
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