aggregating precise predictions computing calibrated forecasts formulating intelligent estimations exploring intelligent futures forecasting quantitative understanding mapping the future aggregating critical estimations calculating calibrated contingencies modeling definitive understanding calculating calibrated estimations modeling critical insights crowdsourcing critical futures predicting accurate wisdom computing precise estimations


username dan
formerly known as
member since September 2, 2018
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level (Admin)
predictions 282 predictions on 106 questions (50 resolved)
comments 91 comments on 36 questions
rank 199th
authorship 14 active questions