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nikos

Predictions18

Comments70

Member SinceApril 2019

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by nikos

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Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: How Do Forecasters Fare by Their Own Call?

Comparing Two Forecasters in an Ideal World

Analysing Individual Contributions to the Metaculus Community Prediction

Wisdom of the Crowd vs. the Best of the Best of the Best

Predictive Performance on Metaculus vs. Manifold Markets

More Is Probably More — Forecasting Accuracy and Number of Forecasters on Metaculus

11 forecasters

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks?

18 forecasters

Will "Counterfeit Diversity: How Strategically Misrepresenting Gender Diversity Dampens Organizations’ Perceived Sincerity and Elevates Women’s Identity Threat Concerns" (JPSP, 2022) replicate?

community

6.73

result

13

53 forecasters

Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate?

resultNo

The Keep Virginia Safe Tournament 2021/22: Project Summary

40 forecasters

Flu Hospitalizations for VT

41 forecasters

Flu Hospitalizations for CA

37 forecasters

Flu Hospitalizations for OK

41 forecasters

Flu Hospitalizations for FL

37 forecasters

Flu Hospitalizations for WY

45 forecasters

Flu Hospitalizations for NY

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