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Kostas
Predictions
44
Comments
19
Member Since
May 2019
Overview
Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Kostas
0 comments
Forecasting the Evolution of the Space Debris Population
0 comments
The Future of Human Spaceflight
3 comments
53 forecasters
When will the first tourist land on Mars?
Current estimate
>Jan 2050
14 comments
43 forecasters
When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?
Current estimate
02 Oct 2030
8 comments
75 forecasters
When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?
Current estimate
Dec 2040
1 comment
Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome
0 comments
Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market
5 comments
13 forecasters
What will be Arianespace's revenue (2021 EUR) in 2025?
Latest estimate
1.45B €
This question is closed for forecasting.
6 comments
19 forecasters
When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?
Current estimate
>Jan 2036
26 comments
38 forecasters
When will a single reusable rocket stage be used for the 25th time?
community
13 Mar 2025
result
10 Jan 2025 19:11 UTC
4 comments
11 forecasters
What total mass (in tonnes) of space debris will be removed by active measures by 2040?
Current estimate
92.4 t
4 comments
11 forecasters
What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?
Current estimate
57.2%
2 comments
17 forecasters
When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?
Current estimate
15 Oct 2028
3 comments
51 forecasters
Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?
5%
chance
4 comments
12 forecasters
If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?
Current estimate
May 2040
1 comment
Life on the Icy Moons and Ocean Worlds of the Outer Solar System
8 comments
59 forecasters
If we find life on an icy moon of the gas giants by 2200, will we also find evidence of macrofauna?
12%
chance
2 comments
27 forecasters
When will a probe first reach an ocean within one of the icy moons of the outer solar system?
Current estimate
Jan 2060
5 comments
33 forecasters
When will a sample from one of the icy moons in the outer solar system be successfully returned to Earth?
Current estimate
Feb 2061