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- September 18, 2019
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Forecaster Stats
Level
2 (Guesser)
Predictions
177 predictions on 14 questions (7 resolved)
Comments
94 comments on 39 questions
Rank
5443rd
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
476 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (10)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (7)
- Effective Altruism (3)
- Law (2)
- Politics – US (2)
Popular Questions
- Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning? (202 forecasts)
- When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML? (182 forecasts)
- What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? (156 forecasts)
- When will AI out-perform humans on argument reasoning tasks? (147 forecasts)
- Will ARC find that GPT-5 has autonomous replication capabilities? (124 forecasts)