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- September 18, 2019
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Forecaster Stats
Level
2 (Guesser)
Predictions
116 predictions on 11 questions (5 resolved)
Comments
61 comments on 22 questions
Rank
3129th
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
227 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (5)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (2)
- Finance — Cryptocurrencies (1)
- Metaculus Itself (1)
- Politics (1)
Popular Questions
- When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML? (129 forecasts)
- When will AI out-perform humans on argument reasoning tasks? (96 forecasts)
- What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? (89 forecasts)
- Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning? (85 forecasts)
- What will the community median's Brier score (at closing time) be when the Metaculus has 300 predictors per question? (80 forecasts)