When will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on the International Math Olympiad?

Will ARC find that GPT-5 has autonomous replication capabilities?

When will an AI solve half the questions on a Miklós Schweitzer competition?

In 2025, will code generating AI have been pre-trained on a natural language corpus?

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How correlated will progress be across subfields of AI as determined by Metaculus between 2021 to 2025?

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What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025?

What will the community median's Brier score (at closing time) be when the Metaculus has 300 predictors per question?